Exit polls 2017: A landslide win for BJP in Uttar Pradesh
Uttar Pradesh which saw seven-phased elections to its 403-seat Assembly is really the mother of all the 2017 Assembly polls. It is not only a portal to 2019 general elections, it is equally the referendum on Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s own political momentum and capital, which will decide which are the factors that would decide the outcome of Lok Sabha polls.
Seat share
 |
| Photo: DailyO |
India Today-Axis My India exit poll predicts about 251-279 seats for the BJP and allies in Uttar Pradesh. The Samajwadi Party-Congress alliance would take home about 88-112 seats out the 403, while the Bahujan Samaj Party would get only 28 -42 seats.
Of the SP-Congress alliance, the Akhilesh Yadav-led SP would garner the most of the shared seats, at about 78-97, while Rahul Gandhi-driven Congress would get a dismal 10-15 seats.
Vote share
 |
| Photo: DailyO |
The competition is more intense and the numbers are much closer to each other. The BJP camp would get about 36 per cent of the total votes, while the SP-Congress alliance would bag about 30 per cent. The Mayawati-led BSP are going to get about 22 per cent vote share, while 12 per cent would be received by minor players, independent candidates and others.
 |
| Photo: Reuters |
Region-wise gains
 |
| Photo: DailyO |
It is in Eastern UP that the BJP has made maximum gains, getting 112 out of the total 167, while obtaining 36 per cent of the votes cast. SP-Congress alliance has got only 24 while BSP has got 8 seats in this region, which voted later and perhaps for Narendra Modi.
 |
| Photo: DailyO |
In Western UP, the competition is more intense with BJP getting about 65 seats and SP-Congress alliance 40, while BSP getting about 10 out of 136 total. Not so in central UP, where once again BJP surged ahead with 49 out of the total 81, while SP-Congress manage a dismal 13 and BSP gets just 8.
Phase-1 Seat Share (UP) : #ExitPoll2017@BJP4India & alliance seem to be making a clean sweep.Watch in full : https://t.co/4fqxBWbTYl pic.twitter.com/JF1wtUzqWM
— India Today (@IndiaToday) March 9, 2017
Phase-2 Seat Share (UP) : #ExitPoll2017@INCIndia & @samajwadiparty dominate the show!Watch in full : https://t.co/4fqxBWbTYl pic.twitter.com/3svNaO089H
— India Today (@IndiaToday) March 9, 2017
Phase-3 Seat Share (UP) : #ExitPoll2017@BJP4India bounced back after a lull in phase-2.Watch in full : https://t.co/4fqxBWbTYl pic.twitter.com/clu1LH9uz1
— India Today (@IndiaToday) March 9, 2017
Phase-4 Seat Share (UP) : #ExitPoll2017@BJP4India & alliance are the only ones to get to a double digit.Watch : https://t.co/4fqxBWbTYl pic.twitter.com/j0Bt1TzUZl
— India Today (@IndiaToday) March 9, 2017
Phase-5 Seat Share (UP) : #ExitPoll2017@BspUp2017 completely dissipated.Watch in full : https://t.co/4fqxBWbTYl pic.twitter.com/PWhqGI6t9I
— India Today (@IndiaToday) March 9, 2017
Phase-6 Seat Share (UP) : #ExitPoll2017@BJP4India continues the momentum even in phase-6.Watch in full : https://t.co/4fqxBWbTYl pic.twitter.com/lVb34grjvc
— India Today (@IndiaToday) March 9, 2017
Phase-7 Seat Share (UP) : #ExitPoll2017After this, @BJP4India is not leaving much for imagination.Watch in full : https://t.co/4fqxBWbTYl pic.twitter.com/jnJ8RTXyOA
— India Today (@IndiaToday) March 9, 2017
In Bundelkhand, BJP makes a clean sweep, winning 15 out of 19 assembly seats and 42 per cent of the vote share.
Phase-wise gains
 |
| Photo: DailyO |
 |
| Photo: DailyO |
Phases one, three, four, six and seven have been magnificent for the BJP, while phases two and five have seen comparatively slower performance from the party. Vice-versa for the SP-Congress alliance, which did well in phase two.